Erzgebirge Aue U17 vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
13º
16º
16º
4
15º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 6 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 4 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVM
0 - 2
FCE
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FUB
1 - 1
FCE
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 1
HSV
5%
10%
85%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 2
STP
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HBS
3 - 2
FCE
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CZJ
0 - 1
SVM
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HSV
6 - 0
CZJ
89%
9%
3%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CZJ
2 - 4
FUB
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STP
3 - 2
CZJ
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CZJ
0 - 5
HBS
5%
12%
83%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | -1 |