Erzgebirge Aue II vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
VFL
1 - 1
ERZ
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ERZ
0 - 1
RBL
9%
21%
70%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BDR
1 - 1
ERZ
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 2
AUE
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERZ
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 1
ZWI
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 0
ZWI
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
ZWI
0 - 0
DYN
38%
24%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ZWI
0 - 1
POS
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
ZWI
1 - 1
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |