Erzgebirge Aue II vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
LOK
2 - 2
ERZ
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AUE
24%
25%
50%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +4 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
POS
1 - 0
ERZ
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
GWW
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
2 - 1
ERZ
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
ZWI
1 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MEU
1 - 2
ZWI
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ZWI
3 - 0
GER
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BDR
4 - 1
ZWI
34%
26%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ZWI
1 - 1
MAG
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +1 |