Erzgebirge Aue II vs Wacker Gotha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
ERZ
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
GRU
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DYN
1 - 0
ERZ
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
ERZ
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BUD
17%
25%
59%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Wacker Gotha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
WAG
2 - 4
WAC
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
WAG
1 - 2
FCH
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAL
7 - 0
WAG
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 63 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
WAG
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
WAG
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |