Erzgebirge Aue II vs Borea Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ERZ
5 - 0
MAG
19%
23%
57%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SAC
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VFL
1 - 1
ERZ
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AUE
1 - 0
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
ERZ
3 - 2
ROT
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
4 - 1
BDR
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GER
1 - 1
BDR
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BDR
0 - 3
BUD
24%
26%
50%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
WAG
1 - 1
BDR
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
BDR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |