Erzgebirge Aue II vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
ERZ
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GER
1 - 2
ERZ
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ERZ
4 - 2
GER
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 2
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ERZ
4 - 0
POS
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SAC
0 - 2
DYN
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAC
4 - 1
POS
71%
19%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LOK
0 - 0
SAC
65%
21%
15%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VFL
2 - 3
SAC
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
BUD
0 - 0
SAC
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |