Erzgebirge Aue II vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ZWI
3 - 0
ERZ
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 0
BUD
46%
26%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
ERZ
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AUE
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
ERZ
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 0
GRU
76%
15%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ZWI
5 - 0
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 0
BUD
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
ROT
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
AUE
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |