Erzgebirge Aue II vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LOK
2 - 0
ERZ
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 2
DYN
35%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 4
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BUD
4 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 2
LOK
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
LUC
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 0
VFL
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
BUD
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |