Erzgebirge Aue II vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 0
ERZ
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VFL
1 - 6
ERZ
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 4
LUC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 0
ERZ
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GRU
0 - 2
ERZ
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 1
GRU
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 4
LOK
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 3
ZWI
33%
26%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BUD
0 - 0
LOK
69%
19%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 2
CHE
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |