Erzgebirge Aue II vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GER
1 - 1
ERZ
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 0
ZWI
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BUD
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
WAG
0 - 3
ERZ
20%
23%
58%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ERZ
0 - 1
BDR
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 1
LUC
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GER
2 - 2
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 1
BUD
30%
27%
43%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WAG
3 - 2
LOK
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 1
ZWI
57%
23%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |