Erzgebirge Aue II vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 6
ERZ
83%
13%
5%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ERZ
4 - 1
WAG
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
ERZ
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
GRU
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DYN
1 - 0
ERZ
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
FCH
2 - 5
CHE
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FCH
3 - 4
HAL
14%
22%
65%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
WAG
1 - 2
FCH
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
FCH
2 - 1
BGL
70%
17%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 2
DYN
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |