Erzgebirge Aue II vs Gera 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 4
ERZ
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
ERZ
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ZWI
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LOK
2 - 2
ERZ
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AUE
24%
25%
50%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
Gera 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 2
POS
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VFL
2 - 2
GER
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ZWI
1 - 2
GER
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
LOK
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AUE
2 - 0
GER
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |