Erzgebirge Aue II vs Dynamo Dresden II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 0
EIN
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 1
ROT
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
ERZ
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HAL
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FCH
3 - 2
ERZ
51%
22%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
WAC
1 - 1
DYN
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DYN
1 - 1
VFL
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BGL
0 - 2
DYN
12%
19%
70%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 2
DYN
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DYN
3 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |