Erzgebirge Aue II vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
ERZ
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AUE
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
ERZ
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 2
DYN
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
5 - 0
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BUD
3 - 0
GRU
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 0
BUD
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 3
ZWI
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
BUD
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BUD
0 - 4
AUE
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |