Erzgebirge Aue II vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
VFL
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
3 - 2
ERZ
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ERZ
1 - 0
LOK
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AUE
7 - 0
LUC
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 3
AUE
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WAG
1 - 4
AUE
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
AUE
0 - 0
ZWI
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BDR
2 - 2
AUE
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |