Erzgebirge Aue II vs Magdeburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SAC
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VFL
1 - 1
ERZ
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AUE
1 - 0
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
ERZ
3 - 2
ROT
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ERZ
0 - 0
DYN
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Magdeburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
MAG
2 - 2
LUC
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 1
MAG
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MAG
0 - 2
GER
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BUD
3 - 1
MAG
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MAG
1 - 4
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |