Erzgebirge Aue II vs Magdeburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ERZ
4 - 1
EIL
48%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GER
3 - 2
ERZ
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEU
3 - 2
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Magdeburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MAG
2 - 3
LOK
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
EIL
1 - 1
MAG
12%
21%
67%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AUE
2 - 1
MAG
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MAG
3 - 1
POS
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GWW
1 - 0
MAG
12%
21%
67%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | -1 |