Erzeni Shijak vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
9º
9º
59
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
ERZ
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
ERZ
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ERZ
0 - 0
TEU
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ERZ
0 - 0
KUK
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KFS
1 - 0
ERZ
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VLZ
1 - 0
KUK
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
VLZ
5 - 0
KFS
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 1
VLZ
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VLZ
3 - 1
DIN
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
EGN
3 - 0
VLZ
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |