Erzeni Shijak vs Kastrioti Krujë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
12º
12º
30
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 92% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KOR
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 2
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kastrioti Krujë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BES
3 - 0
KRU
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 1
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
KRU
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POG
3 - 1
KRU
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |