Erzeni Shijak vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
12º
12º
40
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 0
NAF
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 3
KRU
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KOR
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BES
4 - 3
TER
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BES
3 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
APO
1 - 2
BES
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
BES
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BES
3 - 0
KRU
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |