Erriberri vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erriberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
5 - 1
ERR
67%
21%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ERR
0 - 1
CDA
11%
20%
69%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ERR
0 - 2
SJU
13%
23%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
ERR
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ERR
0 - 3
VAL
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
CDC
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
LOU
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 0
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
OBE
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |