Erriberri vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erriberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 2
ERR
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ERR
3 - 1
RIV
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
LAG
3 - 1
ERR
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
ERR
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ERR
1 - 0
MEN
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 2
ALU
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
MEN
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 1
PEN
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUS
33%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALU
2 - 2
LAG
26%
21%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |