Erpeldange vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ERP
5 - 1
UKT
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UKT
1 - 2
ERP
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
4 - 0
ERP
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ERP
3 - 0
FFN
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
USS
1 - 0
ERP
58%
20%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FFN
1 - 3
GRE
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
JEU
1 - 1
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
SWI
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JEU
1 - 0
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 3
BBM
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |