Erpeldange vs Norden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KAE
4 - 1
ERP
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCR
3 - 2
ERP
61%
20%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ERP
1 - 1
MAM
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AVE
0 - 1
ERP
49%
23%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ERP
0 - 0
SWI
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FFN
0 - 3
TPE
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FFN
0 - 3
SWI
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USS
0 - 1
FFN
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
FFN
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FFN
3 - 1
UKT
58%
20%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |