Erndtebrück vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
18º
15º
73
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erndtebrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ERN
2 - 1
SVR
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TUS
4 - 1
ERN
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TVC
4 - 0
ERN
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ERN
2 - 2
DSC
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
3 - 2
ERN
51%
20%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 2
GUT
33%
25%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUT
0 - 1
ERH
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WER
1 - 3
GUT
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUT
3 - 1
GIE
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUT
4 - 1
TUS
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |