Erndtebrück vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erndtebrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ERN
0 - 1
MSV
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIK
5 - 0
ERN
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ERN
1 - 4
WER
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 1
ERN
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
5 - 0
ERN
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 4
VEL
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 7
AAA
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ABI
3 - 1
AAA
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIK
3 - 0
AAA
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |