Cup Last 16
Global 5-1
Ermis Aradippou vs Doxa Katokopias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ERM
0 - 4
AEK
47%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
DOX
1 - 3
ERM
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ANO
2 - 0
ERM
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ERM
2 - 1
APO
38%
27%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
APO
3 - 2
ERM
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Doxa Katokopias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
NEA
1 - 0
DOX
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
DOX
1 - 3
ERM
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DOX
0 - 0
OTH
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AEL
0 - 0
DOX
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DOX
1 - 0
AYI
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |