Ermis Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAF
2 - 0
ERM
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DOX
2 - 1
ERM
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ERM
1 - 2
APO
22%
26%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AYI
0 - 1
ERM
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ERM
2 - 0
ANO
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AEK
6 - 1
APO
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AYI
1 - 3
AEK
12%
24%
64%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ANO
2 - 2
AEK
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AEK
1 - 0
ANO
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
OMO
3 - 1
AEK
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |