Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
Ermionidas-Ermis vs Panegialios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermionidas-Ermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 0
ERM
13%
22%
64%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
ERM
3 - 2
MIS
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DOX
0 - 1
ERM
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ERM
1 - 0
ACH
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ERM
4 - 0
PAN
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Panegialios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
PAN
0 - 1
PAN
8%
20%
72%
|
35 | 77 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
EPI
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOS
0 - 0
PAN
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PAN
0 - 3
IRA
54%
26%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 0
PAN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |