Ermionidas-Ermis vs Acharnaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermionidas-Ermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
ERM
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
APS
4 - 2
ERM
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ERM
1 - 0
PAN
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
ERM
2 - 0
ERG
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 2
ERM
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Acharnaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ACH
4 - 2
EPI
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAN
2 - 0
ACH
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
IRA
0 - 2
ACH
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
ACH
58%
24%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 0
APS
19%
26%
56%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |