Erlenbach vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 3
ERL
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ERL
0 - 0
JFO
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 0
ERL
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ERL
4 - 2
AMM
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 1
ERL
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WEI
3 - 0
WUR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 0
WEI
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
JRE
0 - 3
WEI
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
JFO
1 - 1
WEI
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
WEI
1 - 0
GRO
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |