Erlenbach vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 4
ERL
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 0
AUB
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ELT
1 - 1
ERL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
AMB
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 1
JRE
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 3
WUR
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
6 - 0
SEL
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
WEI
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 2
SEL
33%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 2
JFO
28%
23%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |