Erlenbach vs Hollfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
SEL
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 4
ERL
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 0
AUB
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ELT
1 - 1
ERL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
AMB
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 1
HOL
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
FRO
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WEI
2 - 1
HOL
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 2
NEU
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
JFO
2 - 0
HOL
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |