Erlenbach vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
WUR
6 - 1
ERL
64%
21%
16%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ERL
0 - 5
DJK
11%
17%
73%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
JFO
5 - 3
ERL
78%
14%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
WEI
4 - 1
ERL
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ERL
1 - 6
VIK
9%
17%
73%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
BAY
6 - 0
ERB
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 0
BAY
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
ANS
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
4 - 1
DJJ
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
AMM
2 - 1
BAY
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |