Erlenbach vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
VIK
4 - 1
ERL
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ERL
0 - 3
JFO
26%
24%
51%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ANS
5 - 3
ERL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ERL
3 - 2
AMM
11%
19%
71%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
WUR
2 - 1
ERL
75%
16%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
AUB
4 - 0
ERB
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FCS
0 - 1
AUB
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
AUB
0 - 0
DJJ
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
AUB
2 - 0
AMB
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
VIK
0 - 3
AUB
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |