Erlenbach vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ELT
1 - 1
ERL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
AMB
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 1
JRE
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 1
ERL
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
0 - 0
FRO
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
4 - 1
WUR
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 3
AUB
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
WEI
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +4 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
0 - 5
AUB
32%
24%
43%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 1
JFO
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |