Erlenbach vs Amberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 1
JRE
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 1
ERL
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ERL
0 - 0
FRO
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WEI
1 - 0
ERL
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ERL
3 - 0
NEU
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AMB
2 - 1
WUR
65%
19%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 3
AMB
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 0
WEI
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +4 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 2
AMB
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AMB
0 - 0
JFO
44%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |