Erlangen-Bruck vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
ERB
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ERB
4 - 3
AUB
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 0
ERB
31%
24%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 2
AMM
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
0 - 2
ERB
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 2
WUR
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AMB
6 - 1
SEL
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 2
SEL
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 4
AUB
14%
20%
67%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
3 - 1
SEL
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |