Erlangen-Bruck vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ROS
7 - 0
ERB
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ERB
2 - 3
UNT
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
EIN
1 - 1
ERB
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 1
ERB
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
ERB
1 - 1
RAI
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
HEI
4 - 2
RAI
40%
26%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
HEI
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 0
WUR
34%
25%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 0
HEI
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 0
FTR
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |