Erlangen-Bruck vs Grossbardorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 2
ERB
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 3
BAY
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AHA
1 - 1
ERB
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 1
MEM
40%
23%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 2
ERB
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 1
AUB
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ELT
3 - 2
GRO
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
5 - 2
AMB
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 1
GRO
13%
19%
68%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
4 - 2
WUR
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |