Erlangen-Bruck vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 0
ERB
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ERB
1 - 1
WUR
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ANS
1 - 1
ERB
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
ERB
2 - 1
TSV
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ING
4 - 4
ERB
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
ANS
2 - 1
TSG
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ANS
1 - 1
BAD
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ANS
1 - 1
ERB
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
SEL
4 - 1
ANS
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ANS
2 - 2
TSG
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |