SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Westfalia Rhynern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
17º
4º
44
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ENN
2 - 4
ERK
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ERK
1 - 3
SCH
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 1
ERK
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ERK
0 - 2
PRE
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SPR
2 - 3
ERK
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Westfalia Rhynern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
WER
2 - 0
WAT
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BGH
1 - 1
WER
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WER
0 - 2
ASC
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SVR
2 - 0
WER
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WER
1 - 1
SFB
53%
20%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |