SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
HAN
6 - 1
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
ERK
1 - 3
RWL
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 1
ERK
87%
10%
4%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
ERK
2 - 1
SCH
52%
27%
22%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
ROT
2 - 0
ERK
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
WAT
4 - 2
HOL
65%
20%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
OSV
1 - 2
WAT
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
WAT
1 - 2
EBT
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
AAA
4 - 2
WAT
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
WAT
0 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |