SpVgg Erkenschwick vs VfB Kirchellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
WHE
1 - 1
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 4
LIP
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
STA
1 - 2
ERK
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ERK
3 - 4
TUH
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
SOI
2 - 1
ERK
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Kirchellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
VFK
2 - 3
WAT
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
WHE
2 - 3
VFK
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
VFK
1 - 1
LIP
23%
24%
52%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
STA
2 - 0
VFK
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
VFK
1 - 4
TUH
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |