SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KÖL
4 - 0
ERK
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
ROT
4 - 1
ERK
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ERK
0 - 2
WHE
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
ERK
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ERK
2 - 2
WEG
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VFB
0 - 1
HUL
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MSV
3 - 1
VFB
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VFB
1 - 2
SWE
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BER
1 - 0
VFB
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VFB
1 - 2
WER
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |