SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Stadtlohn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 0
ERK
68%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ERK
0 - 0
KMA
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
BGH
2 - 0
ERK
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ERK
1 - 2
ENN
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NEU
5 - 2
ERK
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Stadtlohn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
STA
1 - 3
HAS
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
HUL
3 - 1
STA
74%
14%
12%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 3
ERH
35%
22%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
HAM
4 - 1
STA
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 3
RBE
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |