SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Stadtlohn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
TUH
4 - 1
ERK
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ERK
0 - 0
SBE
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
SCH
4 - 2
ERK
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ERK
1 - 2
HUL
23%
24%
54%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 4
S04
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Stadtlohn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
STA
1 - 2
WAT
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VFK
1 - 2
STA
59%
21%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
LIP
3 - 1
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
STA
1 - 0
TUH
54%
24%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
STA
3 - 1
SOI
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |