SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 0
ERK
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ERK
1 - 0
ERH
31%
25%
45%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2005 |
FBI
1 - 1
ERK
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ERK
1 - 1
HAS
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
KOR
1 - 3
ERK
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 0
RWA
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SPR
2 - 3
SPO
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 0
LIP
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SVE
1 - 2
SPO
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
SPO
4 - 3
GUT
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |