SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Preußen Lengerich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 1
ERH
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 0
ERK
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ERK
3 - 2
VFK
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
WHE
1 - 1
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 4
LIP
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Preußen Lengerich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SPL
1 - 2
WAT
23%
26%
51%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VFK
3 - 2
SPL
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SPL
1 - 2
WHE
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
LIP
1 - 0
SPL
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SPL
3 - 0
STA
27%
27%
47%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +3 |