SpVgg Erkenschwick vs SC Herford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
HUL
1 - 1
ERK
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
ERK
1 - 1
HOM
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
SAL
2 - 0
ERK
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 2
AAA
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
FCR
1 - 1
ERK
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Herford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
SCH
0 - 2
WAT
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
SCH
2 - 3
OFC
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
SCH
0 - 3
KSC
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SVL
3 - 2
SCH
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
AAA
3 - 0
SCH
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |